Tuesday, November 17, 2009

14 Bubbles

In a recent blog by Barry Ritholtz, he asks readers to name fourteen major market bubbles in history.

A stock market bubble is a type of economic bubble that occurs when market participants drive stock prices above their fair value. Such distortions inevitably lead to a bursting of the bubble, just as we experienced in the past year.

The existence of stock market bubbles is at odds with the assumptions of the efficient-market hypothesis which assumes rational investor behavior. Behavioral finance theory attributes stock market bubbles to cognitive biases that lead to group-think and herd behavior.

Here are the fourteen bubbles. Click, if you wish, to enlarge.


These bubbles in history are:

1. Tulip Mania in Holland (1637)

2. South Sea /Mississippi Company Bubbles (1720)

3. US Railway Mania (1893)

4. Florida Speculative Building of Housing Mania (1920-23)
5. Roaring 20's Stock Market Bubble (1924-29)

6. Poseidon Bubble (1969)

7. Gold (1980)

8. Japanese Asset Bubble (1997)
9. Dot Com/Tech/Telecoms (1998-2001)

10. Global Real Estate/Credit Bubble (2007)
11. China/Shanghai Index Stock Bubble (2008)
12. Commodity Bubble (2008)
13. Oil Bubble (2008)
14. Leverage/Derivative/Financial Bubble (2009)

In 300 years there were only five bubbles--now look what has happened in the last 40 years, and in particular with all the speculation in the past decade!

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